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Betting On A Bear Market In China at Trader’s Narrative

Betting On A Bear Market In China

China’s stock market ignored all that talk in the summer about a bubble and continued to climb higher. Even a stamp tax increase imposed at the beginning of June this year didn’t impede its meteoric rise:

shanghai composite november 2007

Usually the increase in transaction costs have been an effective way for the Chinese government to control rampant speculation in their stock exchange. See a history of previous stamp tax increases and their effect on the Shanghai market.

By reaching 6000 in mid October, the index has now multiplied itself 6 times (off its low in 2005). Yet that is still not as impressive as its last bull market in the early 90’s.

If you’re still holding on to the bearish thesis on China you have a new vehicle with which to short China: the UltraShort FTSE/Xinhua China 25 ProShare (FXP). This new ETF provides you with twice the inverse of the Chinese market. But keep in mind that that is merely its goal. It also comes with a hefty 0.95% MER. And remember, you’re going long to establish a short position!

As well, the UltraShort FTSE/Xinhua China 25 ProShare (FXP) isn’t really exposing you to actual Chinese shares. The only way I know that you can get real Chinese equity exposure through North American exchanges is through Morgan Stanley’s China A-Share Fund (CAF).

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3 Responses to “Betting On A Bear Market In China”  

  1. 1 Aaron

    A bear market simply has to come at some point in China. The market has come up far too fast and has a lot of speculators with a lot of money in it right now.

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