Comments on: Commitment of Traders Report Gives Bullish Signal http://www.tradersnarrative.com/commitment-of-traders-report-gives-bullish-signal-972.html Freshly squeezed market commentary & analysis Tue, 02 Dec 2008 00:34:53 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.0.2 by: 25.1.08 a little commodity fundamentals - InformedTrades | Learn Stock, Futures, and Forex Trading http://www.tradersnarrative.com/commitment-of-traders-report-gives-bullish-signal-972.html#comment-27797 Fri, 25 Jan 2008 17:22:24 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/commitment-of-traders-report-gives-bullish-signal-972.html#comment-27797 [...] Hi Seeker, Thanks for that I am sure that a lot of the community is not familiar with the COT report and this is a great introduction with an example that we can all follow to see how it plays out. Another thing that I like to watch on the COT report is the small speculators number, especially when this number is at an extreme. As we learned in the second lesson on dow theory where we talked about the three phases of a trend the excess phase where the public jumps on the bandwagon in full force is often followed by an extreme reversal as we saw with the NASDAQ in 2000. With this in mind the small speculator number can be used as a guage of what the public's level of participation is in the move and when that number gets to an extreme it is often followed by a large reversal in the market. Second to this, as we have discussed many times, the large majority of new traders loose money and this number is representative of those traders. While it is an unfortunate fact it is none the less a true one and one that can be traded using this report. Best Regards, Dave External Links on the Subject: [url=http://investorandtrader.blogspot.com/2007/12/commitment-of-traders-report-who-is.html]Trading the COT Report/url] An Example of How One Trader Traded the COT Report [...] […] Hi Seeker, Thanks for that I am sure that a lot of the community is not familiar with the COT report and this is a great introduction with an example that we can all follow to see how it plays out. Another thing that I like to watch on the COT report is the small speculators number, especially when this number is at an extreme. As we learned in the second lesson on dow theory where we talked about the three phases of a trend the excess phase where the public jumps on the bandwagon in full force is often followed by an extreme reversal as we saw with the NASDAQ in 2000. With this in mind the small speculator number can be used as a guage of what the public’s level of participation is in the move and when that number gets to an extreme it is often followed by a large reversal in the market. Second to this, as we have discussed many times, the large majority of new traders loose money and this number is representative of those traders. While it is an unfortunate fact it is none the less a true one and one that can be traded using this report. Best Regards, Dave External Links on the Subject: [url=http://investorandtrader.blogspot.com/2007/12/commitment-of-traders-report-who-is.html]Trading the COT Report/url] An Example of How One Trader Traded the COT Report […]

]]> by: Babak http://www.tradersnarrative.com/commitment-of-traders-report-gives-bullish-signal-972.html#comment-7629 Thu, 07 Jun 2007 20:34:06 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/commitment-of-traders-report-gives-bullish-signal-972.html#comment-7629 Warren, I've gotten a lot of questions re this so I will write an update shortly with details. Warren, I’ve gotten a lot of questions re this so I will write an update shortly with details.

]]> by: Warren Shepherd http://www.tradersnarrative.com/commitment-of-traders-report-gives-bullish-signal-972.html#comment-7627 Thu, 07 Jun 2007 19:44:28 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/commitment-of-traders-report-gives-bullish-signal-972.html#comment-7627 Can you indicate precisely which numbers (amounts) for which products on which COT report? I looked and the numbers did not seem too one sided. On one of them, they looked pretty even. thanks......... Can you indicate precisely which numbers (amounts) for which products on which COT report? I looked and the numbers did not seem too one sided. On one of them, they looked pretty even. thanks………

]]> by: Babak http://www.tradersnarrative.com/commitment-of-traders-report-gives-bullish-signal-972.html#comment-7488 Mon, 04 Jun 2007 22:07:33 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/commitment-of-traders-report-gives-bullish-signal-972.html#comment-7488 mojave, you're right. This was changed rel recently. I'll correct it. mojave, you’re right. This was changed rel recently. I’ll correct it.

]]> by: mojave http://www.tradersnarrative.com/commitment-of-traders-report-gives-bullish-signal-972.html#comment-7471 Mon, 04 Jun 2007 15:52:09 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/commitment-of-traders-report-gives-bullish-signal-972.html#comment-7471 COT are posted EVERY friday, w/ data as of that previous Tuesday. (I don't think the "2 week" delay statement is true.) From CFTC: 'The Commitments of Traders reports are released at 3:30 pm Washington D.C. time. The "futures only" and "futures and options combined" reports are usually released Friday. The release usually includes data from the previous Tuesday. Due to federal holidays, reports may be released one day later. Please recall that Good Friday is not a federal holiday.' COT are posted EVERY friday, w/ data as of that previous Tuesday. (I don’t think the “2 week” delay statement is true.)

From CFTC: ‘The Commitments of Traders reports are released at 3:30 pm Washington D.C. time. The “futures only” and “futures and options combined” reports are usually released Friday. The release usually includes data from the previous Tuesday. Due to federal holidays, reports may be released one day later. Please recall that Good Friday is not a federal holiday.’

]]> by: Babak http://www.tradersnarrative.com/commitment-of-traders-report-gives-bullish-signal-972.html#comment-7315 Thu, 31 May 2007 12:57:22 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/commitment-of-traders-report-gives-bullish-signal-972.html#comment-7315 Mert, I'll write a post about it. In the meantime, visit CFTC.gov Mert,
I’ll write a post about it. In the meantime, visit CFTC.gov

]]> by: Mert http://www.tradersnarrative.com/commitment-of-traders-report-gives-bullish-signal-972.html#comment-7299 Thu, 31 May 2007 05:04:13 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/commitment-of-traders-report-gives-bullish-signal-972.html#comment-7299 How can I get more information about reading the COT reports? Thanks in advance, Mert How can I get more information about reading the COT reports?
Thanks in advance,
Mert

]]> by: S&P 500 Index Reaches All Time High - 1530.23 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/commitment-of-traders-report-gives-bullish-signal-972.html#comment-7283 Wed, 30 May 2007 20:48:01 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/commitment-of-traders-report-gives-bullish-signal-972.html#comment-7283 [...] As I wrote yesterday, on that time horizon, it is foolish to bet against the house. bullish, bull market, china, Chinese stocks, chinese stock market, commitment of traders, new high, shanghai composite, stamp duties, stamp tax [...] […] As I wrote yesterday, on that time horizon, it is foolish to bet against the house. bullish, bull market, china, Chinese stocks, chinese stock market, commitment of traders, new high, shanghai composite, stamp duties, stamp tax […]

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