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2007 July at Trader’s Narrative

Archive for July, 2007

This article from today’s Wall Street Journal features some prominent technical analysts (Paul Desmond and Steve Leuthold) opining on whether this is it for the bull market that started in 2002:
Last week’s stock-market carnage — the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 4.23% for the week to 13265.47 — seemed an overreaction to most analysts, who […]

Most technical analyst junkies are already familiar with the percentage of stocks above moving averages. This is where we look at the percentage of stocks within a group that closed above a certain moving average.
The shorter the moving average, the more short term the significance of the signal. Although, Lowry’s has intriguing research which shows […]

About two weeks ago I brought up an indicator, the New Highs/New Lows on Nasdaq eventhough it wasn’t really telling us anything interesting back then. It is a ratio measure of stocks within the Nasdaq making 52-week new highs and new lows. It is a percentage so it ranges from 0-100%. When it is low, […]

Here’s a chart that I mentioned last week when I wrote that the VIX had spiked higher but not high enough. It is a slightly different way of looking at the volatility measure.
Instead of looking at the value of the VIX, in the chart I’ve plotted the value of the volatility index relative to its […]

Here’s a recent IPO that caught my eye - mostly because of my recent interest in yoga. The company is Lululemon Athletica (LULU), which started in British Columbia (Canada) but has expanded worldwide. I know them fairly well since there are a few stores around Toronto. But mostly, I find their products to be waaay […]


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