Trader’s Narrative

Here’s this week’s sentiment overview chock full of sentimental goodness. Enjoy:
AAII
This week’s AAII sentiment survey moved the bulls and bears in different directions, albeit both by the same 2 percentage points. The bulls move up slightly to 24% and the bears fell slightly to 55%. Looking at the ratio of bulls and bears, we’re back […]

As the bulls and bears thrash it out at the knife edge of technical support, otherwise known as the 750 line on the S&P 500 index, the CBOE volatility index (VIX) is surprisingly calm:

As more and more days go by with the market dancing on the thin line marked by the November 2008 lows and […]

Yesterday’s +3% snap-back rally was one of the famed Lowry 90%-90% days. For those unfamiliar with the term, these are climactic days coined by a research report by Paul Desmond written in 2002 (you can find the original report in the free trading resource section - in the Articles and Reports section).
90-90 days are defined […]

Way back in May 2008 I wondered: Will Sprott IPO Mark Top Of Commodity Bull Market?
Yes. Yes, it did.
For those unfamiliar with them, Sprott is a boutique asset manager in Canada. The IPO of Sprott was an accurate tell for the commodity market top because of the firms expertise in and their cheerleading of the […]

The last time we saw the McClellan Oscillator at an extreme was in the first week of the new year. Back then, for both the NYSE and Nasdaq, it reflected a very overbought market - so much so that it was a decade high (see long term charts in previous link). We now know that […]