Comments on: Fear & Loathing In The Stock Market http://www.tradersnarrative.com/fear-loathing-in-the-stock-market-1086.html Freshly squeezed market commentary & analysis Thu, 20 Nov 2008 17:07:21 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.0.2 by: Tom http://www.tradersnarrative.com/fear-loathing-in-the-stock-market-1086.html#comment-27118 Sat, 19 Jan 2008 02:27:44 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/fear-loathing-in-the-stock-market-1086.html#comment-27118 Johan, Even the highest rated "guru" there doesn't have a terrific percentage. In the end the result also crucially depends on the size of their wins and losses. But what I've learned is that Sullivan was in cash from Feb. 2002 and in November of 2002 said that he didn't buy the summer 2002 lows since he wasn't convinced that was THE bottom. He suspected in March 2003 that was THE bottom and got long in April 2003, partially going to cash a few times since, but only fully going to cash NOW. I don't know how much of the 2000-2002 decline he was able to sidestep. I sent an e-mail to Hulbert from the marketwatch.com website, asking if he could provide more details about this. (I'm curious!) I don't know if he'll respond. Johan,
Even the highest rated “guru” there doesn’t have a terrific percentage. In the end the result also crucially depends on the size of their wins and losses. But what I’ve learned is that Sullivan was in cash from Feb. 2002 and in November of 2002 said that he didn’t buy the summer 2002 lows since he wasn’t convinced that was THE bottom. He suspected in March 2003 that was THE bottom and got long in April 2003, partially going to cash a few times since, but only fully going to cash NOW. I don’t know how much of the 2000-2002 decline he was able to sidestep. I sent an e-mail to Hulbert from the marketwatch.com website, asking if he could provide more details about this. (I’m curious!) I don’t know if he’ll respond.

]]> by: Johan http://www.tradersnarrative.com/fear-loathing-in-the-stock-market-1086.html#comment-27102 Fri, 18 Jan 2008 18:55:26 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/fear-loathing-in-the-stock-market-1086.html#comment-27102 Nice note Tom! Although a 57% winning rate in a certain kind of market (bull market), doesn't make him Nostradamus. Nice note Tom!

Although a 57% winning rate in a certain kind of market (bull market), doesn’t make him Nostradamus.

]]> by: Tom http://www.tradersnarrative.com/fear-loathing-in-the-stock-market-1086.html#comment-27081 Fri, 18 Jan 2008 11:53:02 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/fear-loathing-in-the-stock-market-1086.html#comment-27081 Babak, Dan Sullivan does not appear to be a fade. Here's his record of market calls and it looks pretty decent: http://www.cxoadvisory.com/gurus/Sullivan/ He's not too far from the top of the list here either: http://www.cxoadvisory.com/gurus/ Tom Babak,

Dan Sullivan does not appear to be a fade. Here’s his record of market calls and it looks pretty decent:

http://www.cxoadvisory.com/gurus/Sullivan/

He’s not too far from the top of the list here either:

http://www.cxoadvisory.com/gurus/

Tom

]]>