Comments on: Is The Next Bubble In US Treasury Bonds? http://www.tradersnarrative.com/is-the-next-bubble-in-us-treasury-bonds-2112.html Freshly squeezed market commentary & analysis Thu, 11 Mar 2010 13:27:53 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.0.2 by: Shannon Melton http://www.tradersnarrative.com/is-the-next-bubble-in-us-treasury-bonds-2112.html#comment-36268 Thu, 01 Jan 2009 22:59:43 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/is-the-next-bubble-in-us-treasury-bonds-2112.html#comment-36268 <a href="http://experienceiseverything.blogspot.com/2009/01/ahlgren-predicts-dollar-failure-and.html">Ahlgren Predicts Dollar Failure and Collapse of U.S. Treasuries Bubble</a> Ahlgren Predicts Dollar Failure and Collapse of U.S. Treasuries Bubble

]]> by: Bolsaspain http://www.tradersnarrative.com/is-the-next-bubble-in-us-treasury-bonds-2112.html#comment-35841 Fri, 05 Dec 2008 21:41:54 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/is-the-next-bubble-in-us-treasury-bonds-2112.html#comment-35841 I believe that the markets it(he,she) has initiated a serious rebound. The experts say that still(yet) we have not come to the capitulation but what it(he) is true it(he,she) is that the markets estan overbooked and they need a "alteration" to continue going down. The graphs indicate upward(rising) differences in the MACD and the VIXth he(she) presents the H-C-H's clearest figure, which of be confirming might give us a rebound of several months. http://www.bolsaspain.elnuevoparquet.com/ I believe that the markets it(he,she) has initiated a serious rebound.
The experts say that still(yet) we have not come to the capitulation but what it(he) is true it(he,she) is that the markets estan overbooked and they need a “alteration” to continue going down.

The graphs indicate upward(rising) differences in the MACD and the VIXth he(she) presents the H-C-H’s clearest figure, which of be confirming might give us a rebound of several months.
http://www.bolsaspain.elnuevoparquet.com/

]]> by: bob http://www.tradersnarrative.com/is-the-next-bubble-in-us-treasury-bonds-2112.html#comment-35840 Fri, 05 Dec 2008 20:02:19 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/is-the-next-bubble-in-us-treasury-bonds-2112.html#comment-35840 the difference is driven by expectations of equity risk and dividend growth. higher risk tends to push the equity yield up, higher growth tends to push it down. up until recently, the growth effect dominated the risk effect, now they are basically the same as perceptions of risk have increased and growth forecasts have been slashed. the difference is driven by expectations of equity risk and dividend growth. higher risk tends to push the equity yield up, higher growth tends to push it down. up until recently, the growth effect dominated the risk effect, now they are basically the same as perceptions of risk have increased and growth forecasts have been slashed.

]]> by: Avi http://www.tradersnarrative.com/is-the-next-bubble-in-us-treasury-bonds-2112.html#comment-35839 Fri, 05 Dec 2008 16:03:16 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/is-the-next-bubble-in-us-treasury-bonds-2112.html#comment-35839 The Fed is buying longer term bongs, as the short end is constrained by the zero rate. its called quantitative easing. I dont think this bubble has even gotten going yet. In a deflationary environment bonds are the best investment. The Fed is buying longer term bongs, as the short end is constrained by the zero rate. its called quantitative easing. I dont think this bubble has even gotten going yet. In a deflationary environment bonds are the best investment.

]]> by: Stan The Man http://www.tradersnarrative.com/is-the-next-bubble-in-us-treasury-bonds-2112.html#comment-35835 Thu, 04 Dec 2008 23:47:28 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/is-the-next-bubble-in-us-treasury-bonds-2112.html#comment-35835 So the TLT is rocketing to new all time highs every day and the Fed/Treasury secretary have unlimited power and resources at their disposal, correct? The Housing markets need some form of stimulation. Rates for Mortgages are starting to drop as the Fed has said he is seeking 4% and possibly lower rates. Does this look the Fed is buying the 10year to achieve this result? So the TLT is rocketing to new all time highs every day and the Fed/Treasury secretary have unlimited power and resources at their disposal, correct?
The Housing markets need some form of stimulation. Rates for Mortgages are starting to drop as the Fed has said he is seeking 4% and possibly lower rates.
Does this look the Fed is buying the 10year to achieve this result?

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