Comments on: The January Baromoter http://www.tradersnarrative.com/the-january-baromoter-2183.html Freshly squeezed market commentary & analysis Sat, 21 Nov 2009 21:05:25 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.0.2 by: jeremy http://www.tradersnarrative.com/the-january-baromoter-2183.html#comment-36478 Tue, 13 Jan 2009 20:58:08 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/the-january-baromoter-2183.html#comment-36478 As far as i can see the January indicator works just 75% of the time, not a conclusive percentage.. it also seems to me that these seasonal indicators don't work very well in abnormal times. Investors Chronicle ran a very good piece in the summer 08 on how we should very likely see a Presidential rally ahead of the election based on 50 yrears of prior stock market performance data, result-down 35%! I would not rely much on these types of indicators at present until conditions normalize. As far as i can see the January indicator works just 75% of the time, not a conclusive percentage.. it also seems to me that these seasonal indicators don’t work very well in abnormal times.

Investors Chronicle ran a very good piece in the summer 08 on how we should very likely see a Presidential rally ahead of the election based on 50 yrears of prior stock market performance data, result-down 35%!

I would not rely much on these types of indicators at present until conditions normalize.

]]> by: darrell http://www.tradersnarrative.com/the-january-baromoter-2183.html#comment-36475 Tue, 13 Jan 2009 18:55:22 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/the-january-baromoter-2183.html#comment-36475 Well so far so bad. DOW opened the year at about 8800 and we are now what... 8400ish. Oh man... 2oo9 is going to be one depressing year, no bonus, no dividends, no fun! Well so far so bad. DOW opened the year at about 8800 and we are now what… 8400ish. Oh man… 2oo9 is going to be one depressing year, no bonus, no dividends, no fun!

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