Comments on: Ticker Sense Blogger Sentiment: Indepth Analysis

by: Declan Fallon

Wed, 05 Nov 2008 17:19:27 +0000

The only blogger really to emerge with some credibility was Daily Dose of Optimism. Over four seperate periods his predictions did remarkably well with the exception of his Oct 07 - Mar 08 performance (but who did well then anyway other than say Tim Sykes!). He did not resort to blanket calls one way or the other so there was an effort made to make the best call possible.

Others (including myself) were generally split with good and bad periods - but no edge. And then there were good bloggers with ‘bad calls’ (e.g. Information Arbitrage).

I’ll keep monitoring as long as Biryini run the polls.

Best wishes,
Declan

by: Babak

Thu, 30 Oct 2008 00:04:57 +0000

Thanks Declan, you really drilled down there into the data! great work. I remember reading the original analysis that you did actually but forgot about it when I wrote the above. So do you see any edge there? any way this can be used, even if we dissect it or use a portion of it? I doubt it but I’m curious what you think.

by: Declan Fallon

Wed, 29 Oct 2008 16:44:02 +0000

I did a little analysis of individual blogger performance for the poll just to add a slightly different angle to it:

http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2008/10/blogger-review.html

Best wishes,
DJF