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Weekend Reading: PPT To The (Late) Rescue!




Here is the weekend reading list of economic and market news you may have missed last week. To see it all, go to news.tradersnarrative.com:

  • Calling Bernanke's Bluff
  • Geithner Asked to Testify on AIG E-Mails
  • Once again, cheap money is driving up asset prices
  • Get a FREE Subscription to SFO Magazine (US residents only)
  • 2 Reasons This Rally Should Stall
  • Chanos Predicts Economic Crash in China
  • 10 Common Market Myths Exposed
  • Bernanke Still Does Not Understand Credit Crisis
  • The cause of our crises has not gone away
  • Global Housing Ratios (charts)
  • Regulators to Banks: Time to Stop Carrying On

The above is a small sample, for the complete list, follow the graphic link below to news.tradersnarrative.com:

weekend reading PPT to the late rescue.png

And remember to check back often as interesting links are added throughout the week. If you're on twitter, add the news.tradersnarrative.com twitter stream to get new links in real time.

The Week Ahead: Earnings Season

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One Response to “Weekend Reading: PPT To The (Late) Rescue!”  

  1. 1 how

    i've been looking at this chart

    it's basically sp 500 since late 19th century, adjusted for inflation, in log chart.

    it looks like the index has comleted a three-wave advance in 2000; the first wave topped out in 1929; the second ended in the mid/late 60s; and the last one was the tech bubble. what is interesting is, if the mentioned wave count is valid, that in between the advances, the declines---1929 crash and the oil shock, had unfolded in three waves, too. 1929 crash isn's so obvious in this chart (try this one).

    this whole thing may imply the current decline could also unfold in five waves; what we are seeing now could be a forth wave.

    in addition, assuming a three-wave completion in 2000, we should have a big corrective wave that goes against the massice advance of more than 100 years!. the first five-wave decline mention in the last paragraph would be just the a wave of an a-b-c corrective.

    counter-argument:
    the decline ended with a 72% advance, which is what we are having now. and it is not even trying to stop.

    last point: i think it's significant that the sp 500, when adjusted for inflation, could not surpass its high of the tech bubble back in 2007. in nominal terms , it did not even exceed it by 50 points, which is a mere 3% of its level in ~2000/2001 (at 1520s). given that inflation had been ongoing during the period and the index replaces fallen companies with better ones, the nominal return isn't at all impressive.

    based on all this, i think the long term, e.g. the next decade, might be a big decline.

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