Comments on: What Happens This Far Above The 200 Moving Average? http://www.tradersnarrative.com/what-happens-this-far-above-the-200-moving-average-3007.html Freshly squeezed market commentary & analysis Sat, 20 Mar 2010 21:42:41 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.0.2 by: Reinko http://www.tradersnarrative.com/what-happens-this-far-above-the-200-moving-average-3007.html#comment-55282 Wed, 23 Sep 2009 21:28:50 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/what-happens-this-far-above-the-200-moving-average-3007.html#comment-55282 Nice statistics, after the biggest decline there is a wonderful spike up in the S&P500. It also looks like the spikes are getting bigger, so voila more real money to be made! We only have to wait a week or two for a next round of earnings in the S&P stuff, we'll see how the green shooters fare... Barry notes the so called 'oversold conditions' at dates like 09 March 2009, from a statistical point of view this could be true. But even at market low there still was about 4 trillion US$ too much in the system preventing the economical stuff growth from getting real. Lets leave it with that... Nice statistics, after the biggest decline there is a wonderful spike up in the S&P500.

It also looks like the spikes are getting bigger, so voila more real money to be made!

We only have to wait a week or two for a next round of earnings in the S&P stuff, we’ll see how the green shooters fare…

Barry notes the so called ‘oversold conditions’ at dates like 09 March 2009, from a statistical point of view this could be true.

But even at market low there still was about 4 trillion US$ too much in the system preventing the economical stuff growth from getting real.

Lets leave it with that…

]]> by: Chris Maye http://www.tradersnarrative.com/what-happens-this-far-above-the-200-moving-average-3007.html#comment-55265 Wed, 23 Sep 2009 10:46:52 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/what-happens-this-far-above-the-200-moving-average-3007.html#comment-55265 "The stock market is never obvious. It is designed to fool most of the people most of the time."---Jesse Livermore “The stock market is never obvious. It is designed to fool most of the people most of the time.”—Jesse Livermore

]]> by: Anonymous http://www.tradersnarrative.com/what-happens-this-far-above-the-200-moving-average-3007.html#comment-55252 Tue, 22 Sep 2009 22:28:25 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/what-happens-this-far-above-the-200-moving-average-3007.html#comment-55252 Brilliant, keep up the good analysis Babak Brilliant, keep up the good analysis Babak

]]> by: Damien Hoffman http://www.tradersnarrative.com/what-happens-this-far-above-the-200-moving-average-3007.html#comment-55245 Tue, 22 Sep 2009 17:09:46 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/what-happens-this-far-above-the-200-moving-average-3007.html#comment-55245 Babak, I reposted this excellent piece as our trading feature today. Also, I emailed you ... but it bounced back. You may consider using a gmail account while your other is having issues. Looking forward to your response. Damien Babak,

I reposted this excellent piece as our trading feature today. Also, I emailed you … but it bounced back. You may consider using a gmail account while your other is having issues.

Looking forward to your response.

Damien

]]> by: Pej http://www.tradersnarrative.com/what-happens-this-far-above-the-200-moving-average-3007.html#comment-55241 Tue, 22 Sep 2009 16:09:35 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/what-happens-this-far-above-the-200-moving-average-3007.html#comment-55241 Cool report indeed. I think the only conclusion is that the mean return is weak, but that the tails are very fat in this sample. Which means that the mean is <i>mean</i>ingless? sorry for the pathetic pun. The conclusion is real though. Cool report indeed. I think the only conclusion is that the mean return is weak, but that the tails are very fat in this sample. Which means that the mean is meaningless?
sorry for the pathetic pun. The conclusion is real though.

]]> by: wayne http://www.tradersnarrative.com/what-happens-this-far-above-the-200-moving-average-3007.html#comment-55239 Tue, 22 Sep 2009 15:33:37 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/what-happens-this-far-above-the-200-moving-average-3007.html#comment-55239 Barry Compelling data, good research, hard to argue with. I do struggle to compare 87 to 09. 87 came after a five year bull market that started in 82 with a fed the had made 4 rounds of fed hikes in 87 and a Tbond yields that went about 10.02% on Oct 12th Ill, try to keep an open mind and I may study this more. Barry

Compelling data, good research, hard to argue with.

I do struggle to compare 87 to 09. 87 came after a five year bull market that started in 82 with a fed the had made 4 rounds of fed hikes in 87 and a Tbond yields that went about 10.02% on Oct 12th

Ill, try to keep an open mind and I may study this more.

]]> by: Barry Ritholtz http://www.tradersnarrative.com/what-happens-this-far-above-the-200-moving-average-3007.html#comment-55237 Tue, 22 Sep 2009 12:13:21 +0000 http://www.tradersnarrative.com/what-happens-this-far-above-the-200-moving-average-3007.html#comment-55237 Nice! What made the collapse so fascinating form a technical perspective was how far oversold the markets got. We were down to 1% of S&#38;P500 stocks were trading over their 200 day moving average I would be curious if we could separate the overbought conditions at the start of new bull markets (1980-82) versus bear market rallies (1973-74) -- How do they look? Are they different technically? Nice!

What made the collapse so fascinating form a technical perspective was how far oversold the markets got. We were down to 1% of S&P500 stocks were trading over their 200 day moving average

I would be curious if we could separate the overbought conditions at the start of new bull markets (1980-82) versus bear market rallies (1973-74) —

How do they look? Are they different technically?

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